MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc85e607e8e7325bdbf42d37c4e94547cb09f364ad078d66bfca4c6af707bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 41,455$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,245.29 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 30,288$11,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,668.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 24,466$13,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,551.47 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 19,490$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,713.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 19,357$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 17,369$10,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,508.47 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 15,292$10,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 10,680$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 10,000$6,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.02 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 8,891$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.95 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 7,777$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.49 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 6,707$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 6,548$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,290$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.18 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 5,866$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.13 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 4,950$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 4,297$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.01 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 3,529$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.41 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,047$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.44 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 2,701$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.87 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 2,539$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.69 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,507$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.46 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 2,353$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 2,173$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 2,148$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,088$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 2,068$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.6 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 1,675$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,520$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.14 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,320$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.15 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…c400backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,317$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 1,207$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.1 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,186$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.9 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,089$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1a00backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 1,048$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 997.12$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 934.35$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 904.2$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 899.28$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 813.6$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 724.76$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.14 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 720.79$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 719.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.04 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 699.92$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.95 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 669.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 658.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 648.32$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 572.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 565.23$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 515.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 505$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.25 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 503.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 493.28$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 486.87$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 466.76$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 454.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 450$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 404.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 402.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 400$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 384.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 365$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 363.53$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 318.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 313.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 300.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…2dafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 299.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 297.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 279.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 268.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 267.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 251.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 250.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 250.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…e091backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 242$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 234.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 214.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 210.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 209.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 206.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 203.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 203.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 201.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.