TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over52c214,910$112,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,127.0646949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c109,361$51,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,495.8428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c43,563$21,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,173.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under48c20,520$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.6532251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c18,714$8,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,948.213,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under47c12,356$5,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.3629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c8,789$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.7292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under47c6,275$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.2523538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c6,090$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.414,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c5,869$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.424,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c3,017$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.251,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under50c2,840$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.062,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,727$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c2,236$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c1,498$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.042,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under47c1,417$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under48c1,282$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52821052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under48c721.02$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under47c677.33$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.343,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over53c639.15$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under48c472.81$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c463.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3347545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Under48c424.15$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20077647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under48c375.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.237447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c365$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.21,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c301.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c293.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.958,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over50c287$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.534942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c274$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.591,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under50c253.34$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.941,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under47c240.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9421350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over52c200.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1227454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.341,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Under47c184.79$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.851625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6573849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under47c140.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over52c125.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1653644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under45c123.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8874657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under24c117$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4739440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4738142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under49c92.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0634451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over60c85.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under48c84.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9327345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015862.7%99 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Under31c81.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under28c78.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0344745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over51c70.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.082,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.961,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.012,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8285949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c50.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.955,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7614751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under50c42.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.221,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7423435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Over53c40.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0721549.8%107 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c40.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.072,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over51c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.432,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.277836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745066%33 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over53c37.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7218742.8%80 W · 107 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under45c35.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.097244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under48c34.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4313252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Over53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.967047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under48c30.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.859047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c8…51f9backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under47c28.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1642448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Under48c26.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over53c20.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over57c17.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5529549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.