Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4946b8dc1f96a30f8e05eb03e436341c18b06fcfd060e241a8dc3d826fd4fd50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McCabeof Bergs, McCabe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McCabe | 54c | 990.62$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Bergs | 45c | 889.11$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Bergs | 45c | 555.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Bergs | 44c | 541.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed McCabe | 59c | 505.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked McCabe | 55c | 500.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed McCabe | 56c | 300.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bergs | 40c | 278.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bergs | 46c | 174.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Bergs | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed McCabe | 55c | 168.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed McCabe | 56c | 152.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked McCabe | 59c | 146.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Bergs | 41c | 140.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Bergs | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed McCabe | 55c | 56.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked McCabe | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Bergs | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…6e0abacked Bergs | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed McCabe | 54c | 41.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bergs | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Bergs | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Bergs | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed McCabe | 71c | 25.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Bergs | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Bergs | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Bergs | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed McCabe | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5)this page
- Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou BergsJames McCabe won
- McCabe vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: McCabe vs BergsBergs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.