MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ef31309ac10fd32e81b1d661b720a39f84edc41875b8c8026fab5aac3f11fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Seattle Mariners, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 79,949$37,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,194.69 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 39,055$25,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,904.15 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Seattle Mariners | 17c | 28,745$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 24,999$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 14,426$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,366.84 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 13,454$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.97 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 12,012$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.81 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 11,892$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.56 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 9,911$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.53 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 8,787$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.87 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 5,816$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.43 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,535$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.64 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,603$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.55 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 9c | 4,468$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 4,211$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.09 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,656$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.87 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 3,338$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.66 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 3,224$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.53 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,999$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.57 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,889$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.61 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,605$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.88 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 2,481$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.35 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,848$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.75 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,685$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,578$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.19 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,576$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.87 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 1,209$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,095$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,025$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.43 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.68 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 892.67$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.01 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 879.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 760.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.36 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 710.01$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 689.59$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 681.52$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 671.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 670.26$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 631.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 622.19$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 548.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 468.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 459$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 457.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 443$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.62 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 441$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 421.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 709 | 50.1%355 W · 354 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 399.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 394.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 390.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 359$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 354$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 333.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 314.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 313.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 297$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 261.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 260.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 257.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 247.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 239.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 218$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 192.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 189.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 178.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 163$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 146.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 146.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 145.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 141.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 137.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 134.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 128.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 124.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.