MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f458226149c445b93f45744aaf46372a1a16ccb2e0005f8aa07333794b33d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 54,923$29,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,264.4 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 43,570$20,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,513.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…4b55backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 28,286$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,285.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 28,203$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 27,621$15,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,514.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 20,182$9,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,081.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 19,729$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,470.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…e4d0backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 17,951$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 16,044$9,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 15,837$7,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,285.15 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 14,510$9,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.28 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 14,502$8,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 9,624$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 8,274$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 7,627$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 6,902$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 6,447$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 6,403$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.03 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 6,368$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 5,549$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.98 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 5,356$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.76 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 4,945$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.93 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 4,927$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 4,045$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.63 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,200$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 3,023$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.16 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 3,000$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.56 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,981$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.26 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,962$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.83 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,788$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,620$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.91 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,432$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.31 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,337$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 2,157$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.89 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 2,155$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.26 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,808$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.72 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,744$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,613$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 1,605$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.48 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…0802backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,487$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.85 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 981.21$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.46 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 915.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.79 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 900.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 842$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 797.34$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.02 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 795.85$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 792.49$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 785$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 779.52$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.7 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 769$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 752.57$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 739$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.94 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 727.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 695.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 652.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 624.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…d9d6backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…440fbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 564.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 557.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 538.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 518.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 516.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 505.54$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 489.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 465.68$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 447.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 443.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 436.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 424.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 392.22$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 375.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 374.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.