MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4940ecf28b4fea5444cd48ec6ee337efc8ec7ccaba4c325941ce6429924e9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 14,489$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 12,978$6,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Over | 49c | 8,274$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.73 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 64c | 7,146$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Under | 61c | 5,850$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 24c | 4,045$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,996$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 2,318$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 2,238$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,230$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 2,109$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 983.36$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.37 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 978.36$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 25c | 898$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 824.66$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 641.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 498.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Under | 67c | 416$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 24c | 407.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 24c | 405.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 53c | 390$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 53c | 373.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 59c | 340.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 43c | 318.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 299$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 51c | 278.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 256.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 253$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 24c | 202.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 24c | 197.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 54c | 185.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 54c | 179.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 37c | 171.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 156.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 132.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 129.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 122.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 57c | 103.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 101.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 50c | 101.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 49c | 100.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 99.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 91.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 91.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 41c | 88.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 55.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 54c | 52.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 51c | 47.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Under | 50c | 38.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 38.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…a183backed Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 78c | 31.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 48c | 29.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 38c | 29.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 49c | 26.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 77c | 25.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 54c | 23.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 45c | 22.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 49c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…faf1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 54c | 18.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.