Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb65258198bd8cdde062f1652f5c5a24ca8c15b262eda7d325798eb4f8a3dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 20,491$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 77c | 2,850$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,573$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,559$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 2,467$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed Yes | 10c | 2,133$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 1,837$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 24c | 1,659$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 1,344$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,035$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 23c | 1,014$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 997.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 15c | 651.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 619$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 548.89$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 516.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 78c | 499$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 493.8$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 475.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 6c | 338.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…a57ebacked Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 77c | 201.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 200.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 177$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 26c | 162.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 128.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 9c | 116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 74.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…8d36backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 77c | 55.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 78 | 70.5%55 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe417…429cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 76c | 47.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 76c | 44.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 76c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…b65cbacked No | 77c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden leading at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?No won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.