MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a40e1e7abeab732ed3691d992f49b50d69d09643650710f9b4f7063b50fbae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $969,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 47c | 247,905$115,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,500.57 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 212,773$112,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,769.59 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 149,896$78,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,950.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 47c | 60,306$28,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,962.18 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 25,431$11,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,478.31 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 58c | 22,991$13,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets | 47c | 20,267$9,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,774.55 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 18,436$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 18,158$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 18,109$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.04 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 48c | 13,188$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,857.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 12,730$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 12,002$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 10,853$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.04 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Mets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 40c | 9,756$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 8,330$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 46c | 7,274$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 7,196$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.32 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 6,913$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 6,765$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed New York Mets | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Mets | 61c | 5,579$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.85 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 5,556$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.67 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 5,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 4,974$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,912$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Mets | 47c | 4,862$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.02 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,546$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.24 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,347$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.46 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,156$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.53 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,935$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.78 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,889$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,866$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,800$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,754$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.48 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.57 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Mets | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,332$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,194$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked New York Mets | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.95 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,852$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.3 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,849$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.05 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,744$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,600$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,578$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.54 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,567$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,545$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.41 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,538$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,535$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,467$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 1,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…35d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,277$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,270$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,207$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 1,200$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,163$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.75 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,159$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,110$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.6 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.77 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 1,077$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,040$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,035$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,035$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.55 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,009$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 961.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 930.77$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed New York Mets | 41c | 861.93$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.54 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 47c | 861.52$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed New York Mets | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed New York Mets | 39c | 833.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 826.62$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets | 80c | 824$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 781.75$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 756.6$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 747.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked New York Mets | 66c | 703.73$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 702.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 697.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.96 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 696.06$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed New York Mets | 46c | 671.31$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 49c | 665.35$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 660.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.