MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd3d3c4c45f17c67cbe7a41bc92f6625926d47103b9c90b69d87256c308c352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 169,865$80,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,366.12 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 78,249$41,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,233.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 38,814$17,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,854.61 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 52c | 36,343$18,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,444.63 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 22,214$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 18,594$10,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,567.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 13,532$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,361.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 50c | 12,550$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,274.86 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 68c | 6,211$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.46 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 5,887$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 35c | 4,584$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 4,529$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,302$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 2,913$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 2,840$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,809$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.15 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,748$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 1,209$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,186$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.89 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 1,158$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 65c | 943.7$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.62 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 46c | 868.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 52c | 853.24$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.56 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 63c | 718.98$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 42c | 714.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 668.44$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.85 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 623$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 53c | 574.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 77c | 502.76$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 490.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 455.37$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 438.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 372$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 57c | 310.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 73c | 306.76$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 296.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 294.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 56c | 265.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 54c | 222.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 46c | 221.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 50c | 201.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 190.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 181.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 161.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 146.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 58c | 138.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 62c | 128.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 105.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 39c | 95.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 90.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 50c | 89.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 54c | 87.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 41c | 82.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 62c | 76.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 74.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 18c | 70.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 70.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 67.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 46c | 65.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 51c | 63.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 58c | 58.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 34c | 56.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 55.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 49c | 55.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 50c | 53.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 50c | 52.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.