TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c58,203$30,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,183.311,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies48c22,283$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,583.262,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies48c18,532$8,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,636.621,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks29c8,563$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies70c7,826$5,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.1310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies49c4,161$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.173,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0305,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies49c1,961$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.812,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Colorado Rockies51c1,707$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies48c1,660$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.781,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.831,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies48c1,625$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.8511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies49c1,524$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.066,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Colorado Rockies48c1,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies70c1,309$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.588,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c999.96$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.0924946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Colorado Rockies68c873.17$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Colorado Rockies49c847.91$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c837.09$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.834,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rockies48c622$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.441,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30626948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c471.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8350748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies49c462.03$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.032,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks10c420.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Colorado Rockies50c412.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.35450%27 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529448.9%46 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Colorado Rockies48c399.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012061.7%74 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2511542.6%49 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies49c295$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.451,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks56c221.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Colorado Rockies37c136.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7733934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c135.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.282,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c126.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0753261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.675,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Arizona Diamondbacks32c112.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.948431%26 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd6…4e4dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks56c109.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f4…c415backed Colorado Rockies73c109.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.041090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c101.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.762,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Colorado Rockies49c90.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3584049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks56c85.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Colorado Rockies52c79.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Colorado Rockies50c75.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7829553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadcc…9cddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c73.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Colorado Rockies49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.778155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8446854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Colorado Rockies48c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.121,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Arizona Diamondbacks31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9337444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks22c62.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.958,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Rockies80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c58.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025748.2%124 W · 133 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Colorado Rockies63c58.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4740148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks26c50.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1999624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc6…36f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92fe…f901backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c48.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Colorado Rockies48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.924339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c47.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.753050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c47.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce1…7572backed Colorado Rockies55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.457047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922257.7%128 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Colorado Rockies73c36.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0144745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies73c36.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.665,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Colorado Rockies46c32.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.295945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Colorado Rockies61c31.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c30.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bc…352ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks59c28.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.934259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Colorado Rockies48c27.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2550954%275 W · 234 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.534843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked Colorado Rockies55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf458…f266backed Colorado Rockies57c21.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.763141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c20.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4270455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Colorado Rockies58c20.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.486448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2148…3da9backed Colorado Rockies50c20.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.135341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211257.1%64 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651c…1084backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.