MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23bbfd2e6864f56d33e9fc34c56f61ce691f5298c86fc6376bd5c5ab5626de87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 188,008$97,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,248.44 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 120,000$57,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,600 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 48c | 22,000$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 17,963$8,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 13,928$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 48c | 2,113$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.22 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 2,103$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,706$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,511$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 998.77$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 44c | 997.24$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.39 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 805.05$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Over | 32c | 782.36$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 716.39$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 716.39$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 684.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 48c | 570.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 565.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 49c | 451.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 440.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 407.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 399.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 340.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 57c | 254$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Under | 54c | 224.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 200.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 187.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 48c | 146.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 60c | 131.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 17c | 96.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 96.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 57c | 95.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 49c | 93.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 49c | 79.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…9cddbacked Over | 49c | 60.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 40c | 54.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 45.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…a411backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 43.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Under | 56c | 39.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 35c | 37.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 57c | 32.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 52c | 27.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7fdebacked Over | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 55c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 58c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 79c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.