MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170333c98c08fb40f8e32ce93f0857d22f6cd0c6e4e1f4e90d99931fd1dae8d8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $254,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $253,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,878 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals	14c	28,636$3,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,941.37	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals	45c	25,000$11,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,749.96	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals	44c	23,433$10,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,122.37	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	55c	17,031$9,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,366.02	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals	79c	15,347$12,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,228.35	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals	56c	15,227$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kansas City Royals	46c	15,000$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,099.84	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	56c	13,421$7,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,515.75	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals	55c	13,000$7,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,149.96	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	54c	6,595$3,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,568.34	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals	20c	6,317$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.29	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	7c	5,498$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.4	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals	38c	5,224$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	222	57.2%127 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals	17c	5,219$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.95	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals	58c	4,493$2,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.54	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Washington Nationals	0c	3,875$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals	7c	3,815$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.04	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals	44c	3,778$1,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115.88	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Washington Nationals	10c	3,377$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.53	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals	44c	3,000$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,664.98	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals	54c	2,990$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.6	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Washington Nationals	7c	2,712$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.83	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	52c	2,611$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.01	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	30c	2,040$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.89	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals	49c	2,019$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.69	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals	14c	2,002$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.41	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Washington Nationals	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.99	210	57.6%121 W · 89 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.96	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Washington Nationals	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals	45c	1,796$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.63	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals	71c	1,723$1,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.79	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Kansas City Royals	46c	1,500$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.99	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Washington Nationals	54c	1,389$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	144	57.6%83 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	35c	1,368$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.88	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	33c	1,343$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.12	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals	45c	1,225$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.51	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd36e…0b6ebacked Washington Nationals	48c	1,156$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,132$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.8	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Washington Nationals	54c	1,084$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.36	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals	56c	1,065$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.64	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab5…fdc0backed Washington Nationals	11c	999.93$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.09	292	41.4%121 W · 171 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals	54c	837.62$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.31	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	16c	804.67$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.77	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals	8c	800$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Washington Nationals	20c	763.89$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.87	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals	54c	759$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.86	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals	57c	755.48$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.5	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ee…a64cbacked Kansas City Royals	80c	750$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Washington Nationals	16c	723.71$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.87	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals	26c	723.21$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Washington Nationals	17c	663.87$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.4	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals	14c	658.61$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.29	3,456	51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L	+107.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Washington Nationals	36c	629.99$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	340	45%153 W · 187 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Washington Nationals	56c	612$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.09	175	40.6%71 W · 104 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals	53c	582.54$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.75	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Washington Nationals	21c	557.98$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.43	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals	55c	550$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.5	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Kansas City Royals	45c	499.98$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.99	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Kansas City Royals	44c	499.98$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.99	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Washington Nationals	4c	499.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals	44c	495.42$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.43	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals	54c	471.15$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.42	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Washington Nationals	55c	454.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals	54c	444.44$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Kansas City Royals	45c	434.78$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.13	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals	44c	420$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.2	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals	15c	394$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed Kansas City Royals	46c	391.3$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.3	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Kansas City Royals	44c	388.4$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.5	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Washington Nationals	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	55c	347.4$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.97	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcad…f45abacked Washington Nationals	47c	343$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals	53c	319.98$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.59	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Kansas City Royals	47c	319.15$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Kansas City Royals	45c	309.73$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.35	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-5.4wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Nationals	17c	300$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.59	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Washington Nationals	54c	296.19$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.94	362	50.3%182 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Washington Nationals	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Washington Nationals	56c	267.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Washington Nationals	56c	267.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals	46c	260$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.4	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals	56c	241.07$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Washington Nationals	55c	227.27$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals	45c	225.98$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.29	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Kansas City Royals	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Washington Nationals	55c	219.47$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.94	435	60%261 W · 174 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals	55c	214$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.7	1,299	50.9%661 W · 638 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals	47c	213.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Washington Nationals	54c	210$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.4	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Washington Nationals	36c	208.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	128	52.3%67 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…f983backed Washington Nationals	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+5.3wins	+0.29per pick	48cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa547…95ebbacked Kansas City Royals	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals	45c	194.78$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.13	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Washington Nationals	28c	194.63$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals	8c	185.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Will the game go to extra innings?: Kansas City Royals vs. Washington NationalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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