NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe34e106fc44f2d7df3e683085be4ffad1082a1f086c066576fb19a45e09d3c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets | 45c | 46,394$20,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,581.41 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Lakers | 55c | 35,324$19,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,428.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 59c | 34,555$20,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,387.47 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Rockets | 41c | 30,670$12,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,094.96 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Rockets | 47c | 24,878$11,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,261.5 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.91 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Lakers | 20c | 19,721$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.72 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 42c | 18,302$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,588.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 56c | 17,415$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 40c | 17,367$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,923.29 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 45c | 14,585$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.08 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Lakers | 56c | 12,372$6,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,901.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 57c | 11,715$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 42c | 9,817$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Lakers | 6c | 9,335$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.14 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 32c | 8,428$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 31c | 8,162$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.08 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 43c | 7,283$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Rockets | 42c | 6,719$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.26 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Rockets | 39c | 6,666$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.98 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 25c | 6,230$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Rockets | 65c | 6,052$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.72 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 45c | 5,943$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.7 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 22c | 5,767$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Lakers | 60c | 5,100$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Rockets | 45c | 4,835$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 45c | 4,732$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Lakers | 39c | 3,957$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.82 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Rockets | 69c | 3,897$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.85 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 64c | 3,564$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 24c | 3,269$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.88 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Rockets | 48c | 3,123$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.97 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Lakers | 40c | 3,029$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lakers | 5c | 2,941$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Lakers | 23c | 2,242$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Rockets | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.09 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 5c | 2,016$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Lakers | 61c | 1,982$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.07 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 57c | 1,915$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.52 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 40c | 1,903$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.92 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,786$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Rockets | 47c | 1,778$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.22 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,622$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.83 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Lakers | 42c | 1,621$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 45c | 1,610$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Lakers | 61c | 1,608$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 49c | 1,536$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Lakers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 59c | 1,404$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.56 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Lakers | 54c | 1,390$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.78 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 44c | 1,300$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 39c | 1,297$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.18 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Lakers | 27c | 1,282$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,268$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…104ebacked Rockets | 44c | 1,264$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…ac71backed Rockets | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.7 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…9d97backed Rockets | 44c | 1,235$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Rockets | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Rockets | 60c | 1,160$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Lakers | 25c | 1,120$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…7239backed Lakers | 38c | 1,110$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.59 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…fb56backed Lakers | 1c | 1,068$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rockets | 43c | 1,036$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rockets | 42c | 1,034$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.72 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Lakers | 49c | 1,034$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,021$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.89 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Rockets | 44c | 1,010$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.45 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Lakers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Lakers | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Rockets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…4752backed Rockets | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rockets | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets | 45c | 994.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.24 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lakers | 18c | 994.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Rockets | 42c | 989.38$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.76 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Rockets | 40c | 981.66$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…8ddabacked Lakers | 59c | 936.77$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.06 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +9.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Lakers | 66c | 922.48$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Lakers | 6c | 833.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Lakers | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 41c | 807.73$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Lakers | 52c | 778.81$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 58c | 706.2$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 79c | 674.06$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 41c | 653.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…2c62backed Lakers | 31c | 642.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lakers | 55c | 640$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…d51bbacked Lakers | 60c | 631.15$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…09c2backed Lakers | 50c | 618.67$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lakers | 15c | 601.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Lakers | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 40c | 565$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…381ebacked Rockets | 60c | 547.87$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.