TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,000 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No49c1,210$592 inWon+$617.9550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes51c942.83$481 inLost-$480.8476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes53c741.82$393 inLost-$393.1725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No47c644.67$302 inWon+$343.12,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed No48c562.06$272 inWon+$290.078354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes54c452.51$243 inLost-$243.0614045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No40c355.56$141 inWon+$214.9228537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Yes61c318.67$195 inLost-$195.367153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No47c313.28$147 inWon+$166.4776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No52c299.96$156 inWon+$143.9856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Yes51c202.86$103 inLost-$103.4647354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No44c142.36$63 inWon+$79.7213751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8670…fe4cbacked No52c121.63$63 inWon+$58.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Yes48c100.92$48 inLost-$48.4425850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes48c96.88$47 inLost-$46.542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes52c84.83$44 inLost-$43.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No47c80$38 inWon+$42.443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No52c66.53$35 inWon+$31.9441050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No47c60$28 inWon+$31.833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f8…3940backed Yes48c50.46$24 inLost-$24.22922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd071…b4dabacked Yes50c50$25 inLost-$259146.2%42 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Yes48c40.37$19 inLost-$19.385752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No47c32.54$15 inWon+$17.2432866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.