TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon+$1,019.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over51c951.57$485 inLost-$485.35143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over51c867.24$444 inLost-$444.316251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c790.38$379 inWon+$4112,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over52c765.75$398 inLost-$398.1917047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c583.22$276 inWon+$307.262,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Over53c298.87$158 inLost-$158.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c260.52$133 inLost-$132.8718650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under46c138.46$63 inWon+$7550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over55c116.74$64 inLost-$63.822665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under52c93.91$49 inWon+$45.3622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over53c73.3$39 inLost-$38.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c48.59$26 inLost-$25.7532957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over51c40.17$20 inLost-$20.493050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1ee1backed Over51c39.97$20 inLost-$20.382548%12 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost-$19.4218150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under49c30$15 inWon+$15.333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.