MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5817fe66dad4091f3463c6338ede2bb4a8edf5409358ebc663e0bb47b8b766fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof San Francisco Giants, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 63,759$29,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,303.28 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 41,017$22,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,902.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 35,816$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,815.53 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 32,000$16,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,060 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 17,312$11,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,978.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 16,073$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.09 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 13,050$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 12,564$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 12,427$6,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 10,750$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.93 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,402$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.92 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,230$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.63 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 7,531$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.95 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,904$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.14 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,803$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,075$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,000$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,891$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,282$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.05 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 3,843$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,800$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 3,766$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 3,274$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.67 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 3,212$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,132$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.18 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,616$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,423$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.13 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,089$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.46 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 2,016$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.93 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,730$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,641$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,525$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,494$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,470$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.88 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,314$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,271$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.75 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,230$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.9 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,222$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.08 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.11 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 978.45$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.27 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 947.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 934.24$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.55 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 911.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.25 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 910.83$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 845.98$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 836.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 825$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 785.86$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 747$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.78 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 710.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.14 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 616$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 590$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 568.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.67 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 561.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 542.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 532.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 488$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 469.29$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 465$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 463.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 462.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 458.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 436.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 432.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 416$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 414$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 409.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 396.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 396.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 386$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 372.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 365$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 364$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 360.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 355.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 347.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 340$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 308$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.