MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade31345ebe288ddb97b83f1dbb3cf29c38c7497b5b1647953965cbcee2b6d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 88,888$45,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,110.68 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 87,321$42,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,787.45 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 25,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 24,220$10,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,813.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 20,700$10,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,143 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,639.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 16,012$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,368.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 15,497$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 15,130$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.85 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 14,933$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.01 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 14,277$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,995.85 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 13,367$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 9,974$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 8,702$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.15 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 8,360$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 6,472$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,585$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 5,196$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.52 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 5,098$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.04 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,063$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 4,894$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 4,545$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,420$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.13 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 3,275$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.73 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 2,946$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 2,939$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,765$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 2,433$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 2,240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 1,957$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,950$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,758$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,545$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.76 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,403$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,397$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.82 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,282$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,236$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 1,186$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.44 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,095$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,079$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 1,066$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,054$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.46 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 1,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.49 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 956.95$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 949$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…09cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 872.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 826.66$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…7763backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 822.73$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 813.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 775.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 753.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 748.41$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 732$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 723.26$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.71 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 679$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 653.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 639.39$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 633.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 602.58$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.18 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 595.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 593.59$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 559$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 554.6$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 520.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 449.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 419.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 418.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 395$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…9481backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 371.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 365.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 361.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 354.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 345$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 338.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 334.03$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 328.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 304.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-5.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.