TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78f4…4a4abacked Over2c10,000$240 inLost-$2401723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under52c1,542$800 inWon+$741.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c1,039$548 inWon+$491.1611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c946.37$216 inLost-$216.468,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over43c661.99$285 inLost-$284.6630647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over40c407.88$163 inLost-$163.151,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Over58c300$174 inLost-$174714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c279.05$157 inLost-$156.9410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c240.82$125 inLost-$125.4312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over63c200$126 inLost-$12651756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under36c128.18$46 inWon+$82.063,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over43c115.63$50 inLost-$49.7233934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c91.71$44 inLost-$44.482,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under36c80.75$29 inWon+$51.6894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over66c76.15$50 inLost-$502759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon+$35.478950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Under40c50$20 inWon+$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1716…72aabacked Under30c41.2$12 inWon+$28.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under44c34.52$15 inWon+$19.579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over60c30.08$18 inLost-$18.052,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over78c28$22 inLost-$21.841,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over75c26.67$20 inLost-$207661.8%47 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae37…90f2backed Under77c13.01$10 inWon+$2.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid+22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.