TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$522,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over54c416,386$226,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,593.0316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c149,574$68,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,175.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under46c57,247$26,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,231.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under46c50,115$23,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,031.95658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c34,944$15,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,896.8185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under46c21,955$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c18,466$8,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,408.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under45c15,000$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6757147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c12,029$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,345.4851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c12,006$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.624,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over50c11,660$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.972281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c11,277$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.21,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.255655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under45c8,880$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked Under46c7,868$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c7,149$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.0675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ab…aa8dbacked Under47c5,891$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c5,709$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.525455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under44c4,575$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.933946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c3,263$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.513171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under46c3,204$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.914751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.699153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under46c2,676$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under47c2,549$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1983938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under47c2,413$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1341450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under45c2,078$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9412949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under46c1,894$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.3928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.844755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c1,615$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7595257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6609256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c1,469$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1616357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c1,384$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.0346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under46c1,215$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56013152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c936$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under46c917.35$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.982962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c892.72$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c612.27$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under50c607.35$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8810939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under45c560$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.458746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c535.24$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.996058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c498.02$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.481,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372568%17 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.619357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c357.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7320758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…b757backed Under47c352.27$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce4…d49abacked Over54c347.63$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc6…77c6backed Under47c347.54$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90da…5220backed Under47c347.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…8b74backed Over54c344.46$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…6e93backed Over54c337.25$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over57c307.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.029053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c271.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1622242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under46c255.21$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over53c249.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.499444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Over53c226$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.223043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under47c223.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9260%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c189.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8119145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under46c164.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1614551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under44c141.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216558.8%97 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.15444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Under46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92825%7 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under45c110.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5925348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.