Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe22b0c97392e975341f1274abb6c4a74f092a9c2e20dda261a46ca142c2aec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Brentford FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Brentford FC | 28c | 3,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 71c | 2,580$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Brentford FC | 29c | 862.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Burnley FC | 71c | 547$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Burnley FC | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Brentford FC | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 20c | 387.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brentford FC | 37c | 351.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Burnley FC | 9c | 196$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brentford FC | 58c | 168.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…4107backed Brentford FC | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC | 71c | 137.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Burnley FC | 70c | 96.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Burnley FC | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Brentford FC | 70c | 81.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Brentford FC | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Brentford FC | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Brentford FC | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Burnley FC | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Burnley FC | 26c | 45.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Burnley FC | 58c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Burnley FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Burnley FC | 71c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Burnley FC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Burnley FC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Burnley FC | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Burnley FC | 71c | 23.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Brentford FC | 75c | 21.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.