Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a649a0307187cc2a8b74c223f6d4c2a1729e6bf9e8f4c18b6ca3547dd8eef31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 4,230$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Under | 55c | 2,906$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.14 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 1,108$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.48 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 1,006$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…6c3abacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 326.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 191.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 36c | 83.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 61.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 36c | 48.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…f0e8backed Over | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.