Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe06bd3a43c12ac7e48058e0705932e8616aeffbda86cefcb6227eb67ce6a70a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 629.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 592.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 29c | 574.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.07 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 68c | 543.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.83 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Under | 7c | 392.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 32c | 288.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 238.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 30c | 182.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 71c | 176.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 56c | 157.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…b09ebacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 61c | 99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 59.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.