Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360cd5cfb77fafdb556923efbcae83a1eb330a9a92ba6393477d349efe63189b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 44c | 99,393$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 41,989$30,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,984.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 34,326$20,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,820.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 60c | 32,558$19,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,940.86 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 60c | 29,971$18,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,882.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 59c | 18,888$11,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 59c | 16,847$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 10c | 15,087$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.74 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 59c | 14,927$8,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,057.68 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 13,858$8,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 13,190$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.52 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 11,492$8,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 43c | 10,408$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 58c | 9,907$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 59c | 9,309$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 41c | 8,596$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 8,394$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.1 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 41c | 7,777$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 10c | 7,544$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.36 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 40c | 5,053$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 4,449$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.06 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Yes | 41c | 3,813$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…4d99backed Yes | 41c | 3,671$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 3,585$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.5 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 42c | 3,492$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 59c | 3,381$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.09 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 60c | 2,905$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 41c | 2,806$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.49 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 2,539$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.13 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 16c | 2,314$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 2,280$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.21 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes | 40c | 2,100$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 59c | 1,993$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 59c | 1,993$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 10c | 1,993$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 38c | 1,955$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 1,885$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.52 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…069ebacked No | 60c | 1,870$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…3a8ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,862$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 59c | 1,502$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 30c | 1,339$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 42c | 1,203$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.08 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 1,062$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 993.34$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 990.93$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 42c | 902.38$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 859.93$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.37 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Yes | 9c | 839.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 40c | 803.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Yes | 40c | 756.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 10c | 754.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 18c | 740$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 731.3$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 709.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 39c | 674.53$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 41c | 610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 40c | 600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 40c | 586.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 33c | 576.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 59c | 534.81$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 521.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked No | 63c | 506$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 61c | 504.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…db80backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 41c | 464$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 449.91$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.