Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10095f6908df47ba2fb16be2dbb1d65914501366bcf0094e521fb8b35fa38dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 20,110$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 13,773$9,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.44 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 71c | 12,074$8,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 9,375$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,784$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.86 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 4,352$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 26c | 4,275$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 2,347$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.76 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked No | 72c | 2,100$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…bc07backed Yes | 28c | 2,092$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,978$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,699$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,430$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 1,294$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 25c | 1,190$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 986$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 27c | 864.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 842.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 71c | 841$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 781.67$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 29c | 706.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 587$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 27c | 501.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 71c | 499.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 432.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 72c | 344$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 28c | 341.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 333.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 286$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 28c | 244.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 29c | 243.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9a52backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 199.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 6c | 199.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 137.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 100.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…0b58backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…f616backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 26c | 98.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 28c | 90.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 84.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 13c | 79.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 26c | 75.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 26c | 75.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 27c | 73.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 24c | 62.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 28c | 61.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 58.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…b4fbbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 25c | 56.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…8c29backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 26c | 46.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 25c | 46.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 28c | 41.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes | 26c | 39.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 75c | 36.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 36.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed No | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…aa05backed No | 72c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 75c | 18.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…9a9ebacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.