Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce0ad4893c504284620b96af0c14e5568238286a6467aaa05b3971859d430ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 34,185$20,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,161.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 34c | 9,764$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 68c | 8,261$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 7,812$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 4,550$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.18 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 3,418$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.32 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,160$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.69 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 33c | 2,994$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 33c | 2,151$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.15 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 2,108$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 1,863$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.85 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,737$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.04 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed No | 41c | 1,019$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 1,015$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.49 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,015$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.01 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 31c | 967$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 33c | 909.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 678.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 48c | 646.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 31c | 563.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.82 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed No | 69c | 384.06$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 375.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 333.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 321.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…966cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 31c | 310$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 77c | 258.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 39c | 254.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…77bcbacked No | 69c | 231.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 27c | 223.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 200.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 179.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…fd5bbacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…87e8backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 71c | 141.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 135$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 36c | 122.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 30c | 122.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 32c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 106.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked No | 69c | 104$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 31c | 102.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 67c | 102$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 43c | 101.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 101.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 31c | 96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 70c | 94.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 32c | 82.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 65c | 82.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 32c | 79.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 33c | 76.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 51c | 70.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…184cbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9a52backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 27c | 69.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…e7a7backed Yes | 31c | 62.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 48c | 62.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 30c | 62.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 32c | 61.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Yes | 69c | 61.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 34c | 60.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 60.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 58.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 72c | 57.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…52cdbacked Yes | 32c | 57.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 53.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.