TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$573,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$573,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed No54c420,555$227,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,455.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf22…fc16backed Yes46c370,790$170,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,563.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No54c114,787$62,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,366.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c49,612$22,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,444.9284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c42,563$19,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,579.1143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c13,582$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,178.723,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes46c10,087$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.5513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c5,263$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.4191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes47c3,830$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes45c3,417$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.524955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes49c3,111$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c2,759$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.7719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes46c2,609$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.978946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No54c1,851$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.462560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes31c1,526$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.5276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c1,345$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.714740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c1,002$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47112336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No49c785$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes46c675$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked Yes46c670$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed No55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c597.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.512,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes47c500.6$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.284841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes46c493.48$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No53c467.65$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.86722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes6c450$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.137926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c416.05$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1527644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20421243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c385.23$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.067963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No51c381.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes46c369.54$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1731849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes45c365$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7d…37e8backed Yes46c360.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No54c329$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3418049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No52c318.38$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.654852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes46c300.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.858660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15042844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Yes46c251$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.382040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d20…6911backed Yes49c246.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003023.3%7 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes45c215$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.752157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes28c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c180.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc098…ae47backed Yes46c179.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f8…5a8ebacked Yes46c174.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c173.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577e…d0dcbacked Yes46c172.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4c…12b2backed Yes46c169.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12cf…4eeebacked Yes46c169.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2922…0781backed Yes46c165.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes46c144.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes46c142.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.555540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Yes45c132.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed No50c114.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.053351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.213369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec46…072dbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed No53c105.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1253…7e78backed Yes46c104.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes45c103.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dda…d8dcbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fac…f0dcbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…6b82backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed No51c98.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes45c92.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No54c80.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.