Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d7ee6f8a4ae464b0b89e8fe29f14b6da974c3b766645b2b49be2de5f640145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 354.1$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 319.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 25c | 284$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 228.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 197.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 75c | 170.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 138.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 23c | 110.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 105.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 26c | 98.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…cfe3backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…5cccbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.