TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked No69c25,926$17,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,888.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c11,395$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,941.772,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes31c10,958$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,561.025650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c9,516$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,562.0369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c8,332$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.283,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No70c7,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c6,908$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c4,375$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.0290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No70c3,983$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes30c3,800$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6609058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c3,700$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.8550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c2,869$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.191,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes31c2,549$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c2,287$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6244452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes31c2,258$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.062536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes31c2,238$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c2,030$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…67b1backed No70c1,940$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes29c1,926$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.616740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes29c1,868$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.443452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes63c1,700$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No70c1,461$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.55831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.321533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed No68c1,277$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.361030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6902941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No69c999.99$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.995563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c959.37$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1353…c7fdbacked No56c889.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c850$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.514427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Yes30c802.91$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Yes33c800$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes32c772.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked No2c751.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No17c750$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No69c734.3$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.674654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c666.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.062240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No50c568$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7215246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes79c511.27$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+138.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No56c503$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3711947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c502.28$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c499.88$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9623255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No33c484.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes65c463.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Yes72c463.17$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.691747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0a…f786backed Yes42c441$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…e44abacked No70c390.16$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes31c351.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.026344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c343$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.679634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c320.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…e799backed Yes45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No7c316.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.063464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked No12c305$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.594938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No17c298.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No40c275.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x246d…21e9backed Yes41c268.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc791…63e7backed No71c259$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a5…d778backed Yes41c248$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc348…78dfbacked No71c248$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c235$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked No11c230.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes31c229.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.469840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…48b6backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No69c199.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Yes31c198.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes31c194.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.089354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d44…3838backed No71c194$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No42c193.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d4…81f0backed Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4735…a1bcbacked No71c191$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes31c190$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.19237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed No60c185.28$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.072445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…83abbacked No71c185$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd480…f63ebacked No71c185$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4f…4f62backed No71c178$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf717…7323backed No71c174$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…5e0abacked No71c173$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2079…33d8backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes30c166.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6211740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes32c165.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.265230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No11c164$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2911929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No70c135.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e3…8a34backed Yes62c129.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6912050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.