Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107b2ebf0391dc024ca36723c72331b5a6c7c989756072ee6ca61323c05428b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 51c | 216,696$110,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,457.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 43,561$22,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,030.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 50c | 38,256$19,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,128.11 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 31,003$15,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,811.52 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 30,310$15,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,158.31 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…9dbdbacked Under | 51c | 26,041$13,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,270.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 23,519$11,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,994.65 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 20,762$9,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,803.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 20,022$9,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.82 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 19,845$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,121.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 13,562$6,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916.62 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 10,928$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 48c | 9,145$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.47 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 51c | 5,196$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 5,096$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 4,901$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.5 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 49c | 4,375$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.38 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 51c | 3,997$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.07 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 3,788$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 50c | 2,766$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 2,279$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 49c | 2,242$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 2,091$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 50c | 2,007$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.93 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 1,965$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.94 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 40c | 1,742$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.97 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,700$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.02 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 1,478$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 25c | 1,415$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 71c | 1,408$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 1,351$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.88 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.99 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 1,269$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,253$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.13 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Under | 52c | 1,251$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked Over | 50c | 999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 51c | 900$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Over | 50c | 805.94$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 803.69$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.83 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 720$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 648.58$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.54 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 50c | 622.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 617.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 604.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…68d1backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 567.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 555.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.89 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 50c | 524.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Over | 66c | 523.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 51c | 499.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 77c | 490.91$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 473$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 441$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…cacfbacked Over | 49c | 414.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 51c | 409.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.