TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c9,487$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Yes49c4,070$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf986…8818backed Yes48c3,861$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77e…d487backed No52c3,824$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…1505backed Yes48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9517…6ad1backed No52c3,559$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e3…8772backed No52c3,054$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0839…cf54backed Yes48c3,021$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec3…8e12backed Yes48c2,770$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…a448backed No52c2,756$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7da…95e3backed Yes48c2,525$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5e…7c2dbacked No52c2,518$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fec…0e31backed No52c2,448$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x804a…fdb1backed Yes48c2,411$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…8538backed Yes48c1,977$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8110…7edbbacked No52c1,976$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No53c1,932$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.25658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd759…b63bbacked Yes48c1,892$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1470…1cb4backed No52c1,850$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes48c1,696$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes49c1,632$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.598448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c13…313cbacked No52c1,441$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2729…39dcbacked Yes48c1,340$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…5fefbacked Yes48c1,198$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ac…0ec9backed No52c1,172$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c995.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes28c934.96$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4611125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c822.3$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes39c518.1$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.61,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23512746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No52c447.33$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.743036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes50c445.08$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.385534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22212324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes48c415.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c384.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c371.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.194,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes46c340.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.53040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes44c329.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes41c240.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.563125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No54c155.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.564555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No50c138.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.011,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked No52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.628161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x328e…84f4backed Yes49c119.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.891,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes49c111.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.732544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed No60c105$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed No52c100.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.351650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+69.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes48c93.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1127227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes46c84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.228854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked No59c83.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.784141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc6…9561backed No57c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xece3…8648backed No59c71.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No50c69.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Yes50c63.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.633250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes47c59.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1918449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No51c54.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes48c52.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.043759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x383b…93c2backed No59c48.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes49c45.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.316347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed No54c43.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.213259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No53c43.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.217948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72fb…5316backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc302…ae3cbacked Yes49c40.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid+19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad62…c7dfbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked No50c39.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.639230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No52c39.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.746654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No51c38.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6927948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Yes37c37.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0401…77f0backed Yes41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec18…8eb4backed No52c34.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee12…0086backed Yes49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…47eebacked No59c32.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.