Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42dd50334b33a941449bed94abc187632ca458e4d5baaf03656063a03ca96b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,171 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 44c | 14,634$6,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,241.5 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 13,862$10,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.51 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 12,555$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.33 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 11,707$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.13 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 11,268$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,728$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 51c | 5,865$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 4,876$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 71c | 4,206$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.33 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…82b3backed Yes | 58c | 3,867$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 77c | 3,300$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 77c | 3,157$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,050$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 3,037$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 12c | 2,708$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.63 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 47c | 2,467$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e2f4backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,893$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 1,807$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked No | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,495$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…c6a5backed Yes | 25c | 1,417$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,298$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 26c | 1,219$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,063$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed Yes | 21c | 973.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 48c | 881.97$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 23c | 793$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 75c | 706.67$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 669.29$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 23c | 668.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6d09backed Yes | 26c | 611.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 573.13$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 80c | 552.51$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.98 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 534.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 515.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.79 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…211ebacked Yes | 23c | 488.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 52c | 485.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 23c | 484.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +236%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Yes | 51c | 469.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 23c | 453$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 52c | 434.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 361.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 75c | 347.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 343.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 75c | 336$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 73c | 324.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 48c | 314.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Yes | 22c | 312.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Yes | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…aa54backed Yes | 29c | 261.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 45c | 251.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 51c | 244.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…aaf2backed Yes | 80c | 226.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…e39bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 15c | 216$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 9c | 206.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 199.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 188.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 26c | 181.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 170.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 68c | 154.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 152.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Yes | 80c | 149.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…654dbacked Yes | 71c | 149.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 13c | 138.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 137.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Yes | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…3039backed Yes | 23c | 132.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 43c | 127.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…efb6backed Yes | 23c | 122.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…9b54backed Yes | 26c | 115.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 23c | 110.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…8174backed Yes | 78c | 106.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 22c | 105.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 67c | 103.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.