Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4cb7449d8105455d95689ce3042915605fb79ebe30c831c68099075660444a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,230 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 47c | 184,175$87,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,017.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 51c | 91,404$46,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,432.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 50,244$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 40,120$21,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,229.22 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 25,103$15,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 53c | 21,252$11,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,017.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 49c | 20,409$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 16,342$8,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.59 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 15,952$8,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,672.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked No | 54c | 7,408$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 53c | 5,708$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.6 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 5,064$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 24c | 4,249$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 18c | 3,704$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,304$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 56c | 3,197$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 27c | 2,760$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 55c | 2,607$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 45c | 2,546$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 45c | 2,475$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.72 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed No | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 52c | 2,100$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 2,100$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 2,011$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.9 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.59 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 1,982$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.52 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 1,552$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 48c | 1,406$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 8c | 1,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,226$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.04 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 48c | 1,129$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 55c | 1,111$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…c2b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,027$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…5f1cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 9c | 886$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 860$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 784.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 773.84$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 53c | 716.12$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 54c | 670$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 5c | 653.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 542.84$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 55c | 529.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 521.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 23c | 507.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 4c | 500.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 499.66$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 499.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 49c | 497.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 489.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…feccbacked Yes | 6c | 461.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 45c | 442$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 12c | 394.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 367.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 28c | 363.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 49c | 354.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 69c | 337.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 6c | 331$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 54c | 276.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 249.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 231.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 15c | 205.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 6c | 204.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked No | 50c | 200.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 6c | 196.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 196.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…3d0bbacked Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…3f40backed Yes | 44c | 174$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…ba6fbacked Yes | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 161.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 8c | 157.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.