Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59198f8833eed63bb3b232af015c54c0750b0cc79e2603897c936c2ccb41feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,274 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 4,088$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 2,816$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.48 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 2,728$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.6 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,218$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 22c | 2,131$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.36 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,783$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 1,608$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.81 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 1,196$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.32 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 10c | 1,015$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 71c | 948.8$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 69c | 920.22$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 75c | 662$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 660.85$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 600$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 593.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.75 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 511.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.9 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 482$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 478.62$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 13c | 447.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 46c | 430.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 30c | 417.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 365$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 16c | 358.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 353.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 333.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 283.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 24c | 232.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 33c | 228.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 68c | 211$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Yes | 79c | 206.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 80c | 198.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…adbdbacked Yes | 31c | 179.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 31c | 178.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 159.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 157.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 35c | 147$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 140.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 135.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 40c | 121.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes | 28c | 120.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 29c | 119.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7f…a00dbacked Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 77c | 112.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 105.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…2833backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 54c | 91.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 30c | 87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…7982backed Yes | 77c | 79.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 29c | 76.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…c2b8backed Yes | 22c | 67.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…075fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 30c | 65.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4c57backed Yes | 29c | 64.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 23c | 60.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 80c | 56.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…60e4backed Yes | 31c | 55.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…8df7backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 27c | 52.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 28c | 50.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 70c | 49.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 41.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed No | 71c | 37.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…4861backed Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed No | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 79c | 25.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.