TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes41c229,905$95,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,888.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No58c92,500$53,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,6504042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c63,846$40,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,199.943,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No60c47,893$28,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,622.9610553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c24,243$14,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,433.741,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No34c19,478$6,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,717.874447.7%21 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+260.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes65c14,672$9,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,150.9816652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No60c14,000$8,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3706058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes39c12,802$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes40c12,048$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,228.739455.3%52 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c8,542$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.1234144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c6,012$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.5916045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes41c5,130$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.0410445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c4,449$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.8938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c4,060$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.3762452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40033244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes39c3,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15015847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c3,436$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.9449143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No59c3,333$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.474351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes60c3,130$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.927757.1%44 W · 33 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7707057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c2,532$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.5869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c2,451$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.6328241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c2,430$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.1717251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No59c2,252$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.6830054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.9612651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c1,466$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.451,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No17c1,186$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.22552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes25c1,008$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+155.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203429.4%10 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6109048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes29c989.63$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.642661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52538055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes27c843.78$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.679646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes40c833.04$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.835856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8a…4e15backed Yes40c790$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4744100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.472231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c785.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.638932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43a…608bbacked No61c780$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No60c778$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed No61c760$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…c16fbacked Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes41c733.51$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.777424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No59c606.88$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.066256.5%35 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c577$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4356951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No60c576.67$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3463941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No60c551.07$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.297335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes40c503.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1915540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…b6bdbacked No39c422$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes36c421.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c418.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.122047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c395.14$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2853645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No60c394.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8219446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No64c387.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5930647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No4c379.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.183324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked No61c370.69$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No37c364.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.658541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a0…badfbacked No60c361.16$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes72c355.71$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d10…425abacked No60c354.54$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec7…3b50backed No60c350.65$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26d…44c4backed Yes41c348.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d2…9324backed Yes41c345.62$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…4e80backed Yes41c343.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes39c330.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7156547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c325$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8133945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17724258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes55c294.62$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.293342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c270$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.322854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No45c270$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.835644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes29c258.79$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508532.9%28 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes54c249.15$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.953342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No43c233.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.289052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No59c230$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.714355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7515453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1219055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes36c211.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.115442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes68c196.4$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.352755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.212858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No57c175.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes39c172.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.58752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No60c168.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.265058%29 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No60c166.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.624650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c159.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.734547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes69c158.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.372556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes39c153.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.