Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f1c1951844648d64c821cd7aa173c48f8261ade651ebe5fb4371c458fd27ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 17,146$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,432.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 70c | 14,534$10,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 3,586$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.95 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 3,281$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.21 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,751$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 30c | 1,185$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 80c | 1,161$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 762.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.56 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 674.77$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 651.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 569.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.09 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 558.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 473.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…8076backed Yes | 71c | 470.25$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…65acbacked Yes | 30c | 425.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 70c | 399.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 39c | 366.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 332.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 319.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Yes | 29c | 261.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 14c | 259.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 238$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 218.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 189$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 174.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 78c | 162.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…5eccbacked No | 71c | 151.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…7e0bbacked No | 71c | 142.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…25b6backed No | 71c | 131.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 125.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 121.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 110.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…2346backed Yes | 30c | 101.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 41c | 97.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed No | 20c | 95.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 89.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 22c | 84.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0847backed No | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 71c | 50.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 48.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 48.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 33c | 45.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked No | 45c | 43.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes | 29c | 40.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 34c | 36.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 38c | 33.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…f360backed Yes | 71c | 26.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…f0b8backed Yes | 76c | 26.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…ae31backed Yes | 73c | 26.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…8b92backed Yes | 69c | 25.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…8303backed Yes | 77c | 25.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…cd70backed Yes | 69c | 25.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e1…f291backed Yes | 78c | 25.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…c810backed Yes | 78c | 25.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Yes | 73c | 25.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 23.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.