Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b13bdd4bc1ccfd82578054b3af82e711b8f9709dc142992f89d33a2351dcaaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked No | 62c | 559,172$346,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,504.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 55,229$21,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,010.89 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 54,687$20,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,243.24 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 38c | 36,849$14,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,002.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 32,982$12,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,580.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 38c | 31,914$12,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,127.32 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 24,471$14,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.65 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 20,418$7,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 38c | 19,721$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.96 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 10,368$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.74 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 38c | 8,584$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 59c | 8,189$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.58 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 7,899$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.31 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 37c | 6,955$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.48 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 5,067$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 38c | 4,212$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.56 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Yes | 40c | 2,220$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 60c | 1,931$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.09 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 1,653$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.08 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 1,519$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.86 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 38c | 1,482$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.06 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 1,481$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 38c | 1,347$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,182$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 6c | 1,074$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 999.73$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…ce5bbacked No | 61c | 915.01$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 39c | 866$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 38c | 813$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9834…ca19backed Yes | 4c | 758.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 37c | 593.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 6c | 463$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Yes | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 41c | 450$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed No | 65c | 449.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 427.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 25c | 404.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 39c | 400$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 395.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 4c | 372.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +321.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 18c | 340.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Yes | 38c | 331.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 40c | 287$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 268.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 39c | 262.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 41c | 258.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 38c | 253.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 250$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…bd60backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 42c | 235$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 41c | 231.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 70c | 222.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 41c | 212.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 38c | 211$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 38c | 209.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…5fcebacked No | 59c | 201.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 40c | 198.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…1658backed Yes | 42c | 196.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…96c1backed No | 60c | 192.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…5f89backed No | 59c | 186.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 183.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe576…6950backed Yes | 42c | 176.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…5eefbacked Yes | 42c | 175.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.