Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f11b6d6e537fb99eb06040f3d18ff5f996c6f2c49f0f8bf272e74b103878f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,628 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 34c | 14,859$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.69 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 13,710$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 10,578$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.93 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 7,618$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked Yes | 30c | 5,222$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.71 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 69c | 4,363$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.33 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 3,201$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.66 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 34c | 2,876$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 35c | 1,721$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 1,372$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.1 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 34c | 972.12$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 970.53$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.7 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 20c | 952.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 64c | 908.72$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 18c | 898$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 22c | 897.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed No | 70c | 836$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 779.04$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.26 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 71c | 762.76$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…ce5bbacked No | 73c | 738.63$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 708.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.67 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 21c | 674$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 658.37$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.28 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 656.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.43 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7314…9b04backed Yes | 30c | 412.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…e61ebacked Yes | 31c | 379.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 33c | 333.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…eeb5backed Yes | 30c | 314.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 44cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 30c | 308.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 31c | 269.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 250.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 47c | 229.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed No | 5c | 224.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 164$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 79c | 163$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 70c | 156.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…bd62backed No | 71c | 156.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…8c61backed No | 71c | 154.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 154.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…e7afbacked No | 18c | 139.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…7041backed No | 71c | 138.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 67c | 136.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 11c | 132.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…9435backed No | 70c | 131.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…fa03backed No | 70c | 129.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 50c | 124.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 29c | 123.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…faefbacked No | 71c | 118.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2369…5174backed No | 70c | 118.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 30c | 117$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed No | 70c | 100.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 98.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…fa27backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 95.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 30c | 90.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeae…6366backed No | 71c | 89.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…4eb2backed Yes | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 32c | 86.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…f7d9backed Yes | 59c | 77.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 70c | 76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…5460backed No | 71c | 69.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 30c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 22c | 63.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…15d3backed Yes | 34c | 61.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked Yes | 29c | 59.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 77c | 53.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 68c | 51.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 50.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e6…3bf7backed Yes | 31c | 49.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.