TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof Team Envy, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Evil Geniuses47c47,128$22,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,073.2934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Team Envy55c42,956$23,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,544.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Envy47c14,238$6,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,757.7741537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Evil Geniuses63c14,191$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.119046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Evil Geniuses61c11,800$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,597.362065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Envy46c8,652$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.2528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed Evil Geniuses53c7,591$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.472669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Evil Geniuses50c7,500$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.871060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Evil Geniuses68c6,772$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.716365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses50c5,999$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.5368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Team Envy37c4,946$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.98835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Envy40c4,681$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.6910840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Envy37c4,162$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.0417537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Evil Geniuses51c4,002$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.9365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Envy48c3,869$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.8728247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…d31ebacked Team Envy52c3,843$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Envy0c3,704$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.427411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team Envy55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Team Envy44c3,622$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Team Envy50c3,513$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.713558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses49c3,162$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.3393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Envy39c2,877$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.1826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…e9d4backed Team Envy55c2,683$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.6742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Envy49c2,486$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.466647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Envy48c2,272$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.638551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Evil Geniuses50c2,193$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Envy37c1,831$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Envy32c1,661$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.851,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Evil Geniuses48c1,630$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7233759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Evil Geniuses70c1,525$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.063857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Evil Geniuses49c1,485$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Evil Geniuses48c1,352$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0510743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Team Envy55c1,289$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.215125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Evil Geniuses46c1,129$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.7617543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Evil Geniuses60c1,126$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Team Envy39c1,044$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Evil Geniuses47c1,038$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.294235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Team Envy40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Team Envy52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Evil Geniuses47c999.75$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Team Envy52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Team Envy50c896.87$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.338751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked Evil Geniuses48c861.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Team Envy39c839.3$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.593537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Team Envy31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Envy41c789.74$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32017332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Evil Geniuses48c787$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.246346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Envy33c776.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Evil Geniuses72c756.5$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.326038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebc6…c610backed Team Envy21c737.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Envy49c679$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.691,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f1…3cdfbacked Team Envy25c649.59$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Evil Geniuses50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Evil Geniuses45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33055152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Envy26c575$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0318241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses59c567.12$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Evil Geniuses52c556.1$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.427650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Evil Geniuses49c494.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Team Envy29c487.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Envy15c457.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.668625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Evil Geniuses45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.516142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Evil Geniuses60c448.51$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2714957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Evil Geniuses47c429$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.377052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Evil Geniuses46c413.14$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.118457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Evil Geniuses48c412.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.542638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Team Envy55c406.19$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5519655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…c86cbacked Team Envy46c404$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0827…b573backed Evil Geniuses49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Evil Geniuses60c390.35$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.142157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d30…4c07backed Team Envy54c371.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Team Envy38c369.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Team Envy47c368.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.282744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Evil Geniuses60c361.09$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1325752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Team Envy55c360$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.42035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Envy32c344.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.791,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Evil Geniuses50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Team Envy28c315$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.48151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Team Envy58c305.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.223641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Envy34c305.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6239545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Team Envy50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Evil Geniuses45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16515553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses55c298.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Evil Geniuses50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Team Envy25c286.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Evil Geniuses65c283.6$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Evil Geniuses70c280.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Envy32c280$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.556131.1%19 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Team Envy54c279.63$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Evil Geniuses51c275.02$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.189750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Evil Geniuses52c274.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.47145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Evil Geniuses49c274.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.069052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked Team Envy49c271.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.555549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses63c271.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Evil Geniuses52c252.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Evil Geniuses48c231.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5612650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Team Envy52c227.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.195749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Team Envy51c222.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.312151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Team Envy48c215.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2218056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564c…2beabacked Team Envy46c215.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a5dbbacked Team Envy44c213.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.