Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da4f32578d762c4f29f5213682d4b17ba2a2f8de5af1cfafb5d0832fedf9bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof Team Envy, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed Team Envy | 0c | 17,890$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Envy | 48c | 4,066$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.14 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Envy | 45c | 2,345$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.74 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Evil Geniuses | 52c | 1,928$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.28 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 1,812$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.03 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Evil Geniuses | 57c | 1,776$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.12 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Evil Geniuses | 65c | 1,603$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Envy | 29c | 1,428$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Envy | 54c | 1,411$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.91 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Envy | 41c | 956.53$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.11 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Envy | 39c | 919.17$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.92 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Envy | 42c | 826.59$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Evil Geniuses | 65c | 752.12$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.87 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Envy | 2c | 592.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Team Envy | 39c | 566.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Envy | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 505.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Envy | 41c | 472$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Envy | 42c | 465.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Envy | 35c | 457.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Team Envy | 48c | 456.22$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Envy | 49c | 441.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 436.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Envy | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Envy | 20c | 393.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Envy | 27c | 393.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Team Envy | 50c | 346$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Evil Geniuses | 76c | 343$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Evil Geniuses | 65c | 282$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Envy | 14c | 263.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Envy | 14c | 208.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Envy | 45c | 198.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Envy | 31c | 195.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…7fbcbacked Team Envy | 47c | 170$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Envy | 36c | 136.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Evil Geniuses | 56c | 130.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Team Envy | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d81dbacked Team Envy | 33c | 98.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Envy | 32c | 98.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Team Envy | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Envy | 27c | 84.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…c180backed Team Envy | 16c | 75.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Team Envy | 33c | 71.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Evil Geniuses | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Envy | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Evil Geniuses | 73c | 64.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Team Envy | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…83bebacked Team Envy | 20c | 53.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Envy | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Team Envy | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Envy | 29c | 41.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…88a0backed Team Envy | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Evil Geniuses | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Team Envy | 47c | 25.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38d…2430backed Evil Geniuses | 70c | 24.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.