TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes41c140,310$57,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,785.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No60c89,964$53,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,978.397455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No59c85,400$50,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,3862339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes40c50,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.9613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c40,157$22,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,770.024,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c37,724$15,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,449.999640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes40c36,579$14,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,947.579748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c29,908$11,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,928.4550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c29,038$17,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,186.372,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No60c26,840$16,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,1043145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c16,145$9,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,563.950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes41c14,560$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,590.426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No59c12,322$7,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.553444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c8,804$5,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.6250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No59c8,296$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,894.641764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes40c8,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8007349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No59c4,855$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.0919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c4,225$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.7520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c3,776$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.5692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No61c3,670$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.74959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes41c3,220$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90012236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No59c3,120$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c2,367$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.441,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c2,002$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.183,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes40c1,785$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.0735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba3…c58fbacked No60c1,517$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes39c1,500$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes41c1,412$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0211333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes40c1,325$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7952536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa579…99edbacked Yes41c1,320$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes42c1,226$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No30c1,166$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No59c1,134$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.214235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes39c1,072$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5513728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes41c1,061$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.982552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c1,052$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.1883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No59c1,039$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6131735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c1,000$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59248153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8a…4e15backed Yes40c840$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf75e…c325backed No61c820$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2f…137cbacked No61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c797.5$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No59c782.7$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…c16fbacked Yes40c780$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No61c750$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.55058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes46c687$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c638.46$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4610634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.763026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c600$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No59c600$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35720642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes42c595$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.18341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes41c533.04$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.539840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c527$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.825844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.837719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No59c499.97$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked Yes40c413$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No50c401.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.457653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…4431backed No60c400.42$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.855151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No59c338$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No60c328.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9823947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No59c307.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6520245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes41c304.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.883622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes37c293.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Yes41c281.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c267.07$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2926241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c264.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.451,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.414528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…2c2bbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2830…2676backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…cd27backed Yes41c241.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes39c238$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes40c202.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…bc58backed No61c201.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed No13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11822740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1188445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…ff00backed Yes41c194.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes41c193.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.416836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No58c180.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69f…7dffbacked No60c178.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59dd…70dcbacked Yes41c175.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.