La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd78749e39f32e8424683ba0d5bdedbe91de2a0c6e4be39887234817b21c28b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 1,527$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 1,495$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.85 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,485$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 1,249$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 824.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 347$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed No | 70c | 249.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 208.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 21c | 190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 188.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Yes | 29c | 171.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 161$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 151.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 32c | 144.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 27c | 139.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked Yes | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 87.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 70c | 74.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 29c | 73.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 70.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 70.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 31c | 61.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…d7e3backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 28c | 35.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…9636backed Yes | 30c | 33.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 80c | 30.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 80c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.