TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeddc…d7e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$47.39
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Alcorn State Braves vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62%+$12.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$57.9
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.