Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0594d513eb8b46278e618ba8a195561d9242c787f396c63c19838ebd996ea6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33df…337dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 74c | 17,881$13,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.06 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 8,132$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 73c | 6,850$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.35 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 6,730$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.8 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +7.1wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,385$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.1 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 27c | 2,636$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,578$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.83 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 1,543$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.15 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 1,249$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,240$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.7 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 26c | 801.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 569$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 544.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 28c | 381.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 378.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 319.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed No | 75c | 294.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 224.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked No | 75c | 133.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 73c | 130.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 92.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 80.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 28c | 74.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked Yes | 27c | 73.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 20c | 63.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 73c | 43.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…d7e3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 25.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 79c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.