Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a527eeacac9b6d5e15be284bc032bd16d1b53757064db6e2bf2cf13fccf688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 37c | 4,399$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vermont Catamounts | 67c | 3,848$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 26c | 3,330$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.51 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 3,048$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 17c | 1,752$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Vermont Catamounts | 57c | 1,661$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 27c | 1,357$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 29c | 997.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vermont Catamounts | 58c | 823.75$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 27c | 782.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 57c | 660.53$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 642.27$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 41c | 584.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Vermont Catamounts | 49c | 469.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 398.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Vermont Catamounts | 57c | 316.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 280.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 37c | 254.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 250.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 40c | 238.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 44c | 220.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 198.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 190.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vermont Catamounts | 63c | 188.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…62b9backed Vermont Catamounts | 48c | 187.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 127.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Vermont Catamounts | 74c | 122.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d11ebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 26c | 118.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 110.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 38c | 98.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 23c | 86.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 24c | 75.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…d7e3backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 59.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 38c | 58.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…1e04backed Vermont Catamounts | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Vermont Catamounts | 68c | 30.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 49c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Vermont Catamounts | 57c | 29.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Vermont Catamounts | 65c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Vermont Catamounts | 65c | 22.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.