Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f59a9bc9fbeb4fe966758295cd294553db42193ac8967224c742c62abbdc427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof Bryant Bulldogs, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 24c | 11,382$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.95 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 6,975$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 4,158$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.98 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 22c | 2,613$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bryant Bulldogs | 18c | 2,184$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.32 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bryant Bulldogs | 11c | 1,277$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 1,193$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 18c | 1,181$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…8458backed Bryant Bulldogs | 18c | 991.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 762.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 2c | 684.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 13c | 498.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 482.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Bryant Bulldogs | 24c | 415.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 346.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 344.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 334.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Bryant Bulldogs | 11c | 321.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Bryant Bulldogs | 13c | 321.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 234.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 210.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 24c | 207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 196.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 192.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Bryant Bulldogs | 22c | 178.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 161.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 149.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 119.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 101.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…f4cabacked Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5ebdbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Bryant Bulldogs | 15c | 95.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bryant Bulldogs | 19c | 90.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked UMBC Retrievers | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…e25ebacked Bryant Bulldogs | 16c | 68.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…d7e3backed Bryant Bulldogs | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked UMBC Retrievers | 76c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 28.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…4c4abacked UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-10.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-9.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.