Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4139643ebc8ec97f1a88e10f45900ffcaeef9491ce7af3f77f38c4244282f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under | 52c | 13,459$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 48c | 12,971$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 1,884$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 54c | 1,837$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.36 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 57c | 420.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 237.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 48c | 154.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…ff31backed Over | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 62.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 50.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 46c | 49.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 48.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 47c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5this page
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers won
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-10.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-9.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.