Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9bdf936c7a4db40281d02711be4b649fac0a14e9b508c35a25f2d691c55957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 53c | 2,938$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.43 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 836.52$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.36 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 47c | 352.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 202.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 62.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 52c | 55.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Over | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 21.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5this page
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers won
- Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-10.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-9.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.