TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1660…5598backed No72c5,557$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.323767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c2,630$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.481,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes19c996.82$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.421144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes2c952.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes29c858.33$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.924425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes18c588$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.842334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c422.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.281,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes20c371.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7388…2887backed No80c365$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c316.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c291.21$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c285.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166c…93ecbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes21c197.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.484751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c192.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes19c180$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.25236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee2…e71dbacked No79c142.68$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes27c97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.968976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes23c94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2920150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.845261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…9af5backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddc…d7e3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…f400backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fa…ac10backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c49.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes21c48.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ad…9636backed Yes21c47.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked No80c22.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No80c13.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.