TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No34c54,264$18,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,449.74940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes66c30,092$19,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,231.2821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes67c28,864$19,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,525.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c16,215$5,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,321.731,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes68c16,180$11,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.259159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes68c15,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes60c14,541$8,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No32c12,990$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.83351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No33c8,572$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.1221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c6,648$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.411,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9206553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes66c4,628$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.5215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No32c4,406$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No33c3,333$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.894468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No32c3,141$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0051888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c2,776$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.254746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No32c2,025$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes66c1,794$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.063756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No32c1,764$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No34c1,437$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c1,290$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No23c1,142$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.524231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes66c1,016$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No34c1,010$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.223745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No39c882.1$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5315048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No33c872.86$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No37c835.35$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.496942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes66c728.99$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.645461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No36c713.08$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.424052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed No34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No32c586.56$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.72944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No36c566.58$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.711735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes72c550$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.672744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No32c538$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.162548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No45c511.7$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.893040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.85151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes66c483.33$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.552458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No38c453.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd744…af4abacked No34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes68c439.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.974052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No28c392.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.785040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No34c377.89$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.594425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c372.24$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes66c349.42$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No33c327.07$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.931942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c277.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No33c272.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes67c267.54$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…bbdebacked Yes69c264$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No32c227.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.652536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed No33c217$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes58c204.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No41c202.37$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes67c187.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed No35c166$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes66c159.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3712647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2510964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked No34c148$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed No35c138.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.371844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No37c124$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes63c118.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9912957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.643751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x937f…b74bbacked No34c114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No32c112.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes66c101.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.384151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes59c99.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.312934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes77c97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No33c96.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No29c93.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No33c92.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5717251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes63c85.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.715064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed Yes63c85.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No32c83.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.84062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Yes66c77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.