Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4646174688bf07c4caef07c6499d0f4fa7e03dc8431d46db1c56396ff058f60d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,941$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.26 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 2,582$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,916$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 1,382$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 835.47$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 728.96$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 669$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 626.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 16c | 625.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 38c | 568.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.73 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 24c | 538.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 359.53$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 352.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 66c | 274.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 79c | 253.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 56c | 187.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 24c | 180.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…94febacked Yes | 64c | 134.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed Yes | 59c | 111.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 76.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 67.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 61.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…9636backed Yes | 25c | 56.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 21c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 50.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…08aabacked Yes | 55c | 49.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 43c | 45.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 72c | 43.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…d7e3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 73c | 37.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 30c | 36.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 73c | 34.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 38c | 31.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.